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Chronic disease: preventing the world's next tidal wave—the challenge for Canada 2007?
E-mail: hpi@deakin.edu.au
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Chronic disease is fast becoming the world's next tsunami, swelled by increasing levels of obesity, unhealthy eating, physical inactivity and tobacco use. Sixty per cent of all deaths worldwide are now due to chronic diseases, principally heart disease, stroke, cancer, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes. In 2005, chronic diseases accounted for 35 million deaths, which is more than double the number from all infectious diseases (including HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria). Surprising to many, only 20% of chronic disease deaths happen in high-income countries, the remainder occurring in low- and middle-income countries where most of the world's population live.
A ‘red alert’ has already been sounded by the World Health Organization, which has estimated that deaths from infectious diseases, maternal and perinatal conditions and nutritional deficiencies combined will decline by 3% over the next 10 years. In contrast, deaths due to chronic diseases will increase by 17% over the same period
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